Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Ugly Numbers

Winston-Salem, NC -- Here are the batting averages and on-base percentages of the players in the Nats' Opening Day lineup:
  1. Guzman, .309, .330
  2. Milledge, .248, .317
  3. Zimmerman, .257, .291
  4. Johnson, .220, .415
  5. Kearns, .187, .295
  6. Lo Duca, .200, .298
  7. Belliard, .194, .316
  8. Dukes, .195, .326

I don't believe that I've ever seen a lineup with so many players hitting below the Mendoza Line. Only Guzman has a RESPECTABLE average and Johnson is the only player with an OBP above the designated .400 plateau. Granted, several players have been hurt and missed playing time, but their replacements aren't exactly lighting up the place.

  • Young (for Johnson): .233, .338
  • Pena (for Kearns): .206, .255
  • Flores (for Lo Duca): .318, .385
  • Lopez (for Belliard): .236, .313

Is Jesus Flores the only guy who is hitting above .300 and has a decent on-base percentage? The Nats' run differential is a pathetic -82. Using Bill James' Pythagorean Theory to project their winning percentage, it'll come out to 0.355 (RS^2/(RS^2 + RA^2). Currently, the Nats sit at 0.385 (25-40), so they've actually a little lucky at this point to have 25 wins.

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